Joete Lynsey

Election Probability 2024. Our prediction model shows the chances kamala harris and donald trump have of winning the contest to be america's next president. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

Kalshi’s political prediction markets offer traders a unique opportunity to capitalize on key u.s. Light (60%+), medium (75%+), dark (95%+).